Jaban
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Gelê kurd carek din bindestiyê qebûl nake!
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« Antworten #28 am: 06. Okt 2011, 11:25 » |
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PKK-Iran axis
Zaman, 05.10.2011, Emre Uslu
As the fight between Turkey and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) intensifies, the problems between the PKK and Iran are declining. Just last week, the PKK’s offshoot, Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan (PJAK), which was established to fight against Iran in 2004, reached an agreement with Iran. PJAK accepted all Iranian demands. In return, Iran didn’t make any promises, let alone concessions.
The swift Iranian victory against PJAK has now incited a new debate in Turkey on how Iran is capable of forcing PJAK, which in reality is the PKK, to stop its terrorist activities in Iran without any condition, but not Turkey. Isn’t the Turkish military supposed to be more powerful than Iran’s?
Well, examining the PKK’s media outlets indicate that Iran’s victory against PJAK is not a military victory, rather a political victory that led Iran and the PKK to reach an agreement to call a cease-fire. It seems that the PKK and Iran have realized that they both need each other as the political map of the Middle East changes. Especially the turmoil in Syria has brought Iran and the PKK together to establish a new axis between the two to open a new corridor between Iran and Syria through Kurdistan in northern Iraq. The following analysis is especially important toward understanding, at least how the PKK perceives the recent developments. The analysis by Yusuf Ziyad appeared from a PKK think-thank institution, the Kurdistan Center for Strategic Studies. The author is not just an “expert” on the region, he has a critical role in the PKK organization; he is the PKK’s media official. Therefore, his analysis must be taken seriously.
“As Turkey reached an agreement with the US to install NATO’s radar units in Turkey, Iran failed to drag Turkey out of the West. It further isolated Iran in the region. Turkey’s decision to support American plans in the Middle East have deeply disturbed Iran. Because there is no neighboring state for Iran to build an alliance with, Iran will build alliances with non-state actors. It is a well-known fact that Iran has had alliances with Hezbollah, Ansar Al-Sunnah, Hamas, etc. The [Justice and Development Party] AKP government has pulled Hamas away from Iran’s influence. As an outcome of an arrangement between Turkey and Hamas, the organization shut down its offices in Damascus.”
Ziyad further goes on to suggest: “At this stage, the best option for Iran is to build a Shiite and Kurdish alliance [with the Shiite-Kurd axis the author implies an Iran-PKK alliance]. As we look at the interests of both the Kurds and the Shiites there is ground to build such an alliance. Turkey’s moderate Islamic model is a direct challenge to the Iranian model of Islam. Promoting the Turkish model of Islam across the Arab world is an American project.”
Ziyad deepens his analysis by adding the situation of Syria to the equation. “The Assad regime in Syria is very critical for Iran. After the fall of the Assad regime, Iran would not be able to convince the Kurdistan Regional Government in northern Iraq to side with Iran. Turkey’s attempt to remove the Assad regime, at the end would be against Iran’s and the Kurds’ interests in the region. The only way to end this international conspiracy against Iran and Syria would be to build an alliance with the Kurds. With such alliance, Iran would have a new area of operations from Lebanon to Afghanistan; this would become a breathing ground for Iran.”
Looking at the political actors in the region, Ziyad thinks Massoud Barzani’s Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) would be against such an alliance because Barzani is serving in the interest of the US and Israel in the region. Therefore, Ziyad suggests “the main pillars of such an alliance would be Iran and the PKK. Given the fact that the PKK is active in all parts of Kurdistan, if both, Iran and the PKK reach an agreement it means all parts of Kurdistan will have become a part of this alliance.” With such alliance, the PKK hopes to gain regional recognition from Iran. Ziyad argues, “As a precondition of such an agreement Iran should recognize the status of Kurds in the region.” Given the fact that this and many other similar analyses which appeared in the pro-PKK press were published at the time when Iran and the PKK had reached an agreement on a cease-fire, indicates that the Iranian victory against PJAK was not a military one. It could be indicative of further complications and an increase of PKK activities in Turkey toward destabilizing Turkish domestic politics to serve the interests of Iran.
I hope the AKP government also realizes how Iran does politics in the region…
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